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TABLE 1
Standard Phases of Drug Development
Phase
Start
Main tasks
End
Average duration, months
Average chance of success, %
Preclinical
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Development decision
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Safety evaluation in animals; pilot plant scale production process; formulation for phase I
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Approval to treat first human subject
15
55
I
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Start of first tolerability and kinetic study in humans
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Safety, tolerability and kinetics in humans; extended toxicology; formulation for phase II
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Approval to start first therapeutic study
12
75
II
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Start of first therapeutic study
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First proof of therapeutic efficacy; determination of effective dose; longer term toxicology
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Approval to start large pivotal therapeutic studies
24
50
III
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Start of first large pivotal study
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Statistical proof of efficacy and safety in a large, diverse patient population; documentation of all results; process optimization and scale up
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Completion of documentation for regulatory submission
30
70
Approval
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Submission in first country
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Response to questions and requests of regulatory authorities; production of launch supplies; premarketing and sales force training
Marketing approval
1248
90

 
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